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Automobile production in Germany November 2016

Slightly growing automobile production in 2016 with stagnating sales in sideways range on higher level

This report deals mainly with monthly changes of production and sales of the automobile industry in Germany based on official production statistics. A separate trend report publishes the trends in production and sales since the beginning of the world economy crisis in 2008 to 2015.

January 16th, 2017 - Automobile production shifted the range of its sideways movement upward in 2015. That means production decreased less and achieved somewhat higher tops.


In June 2016 production marked its highest value with 139.1 index points since 2008.


The rising tendency of production can easily be detected at the slightly rising dashed line representing a moving yearly average value.


From January to April 2016 automobile production grew each month. However, in May it dropped to 113.3 index points below the yearly average, hit a new top in June and since then decreased and increased again - an up and down occurring intensified since 2014.

Automobile production in Germany from 2008 up to 2016.

Without substantially changed situation in the world economy the sideways movement of automobile production in Germany on somewhat higher level will continue. This prognosis is derived from the course of the world automobile production since 2008. Hence world automobile production without China has been stagnation since 2008 with a plus of annually 0.3%, with China plus yearly 2.7%. The growth of automobile production in China in 2015 was lower in 2015 than in 2014.

Sales within higher sideways range stagnating in 2016

Also sales have been swinging into a higher level for their sideways movement since 2014.


From January to April 2016 sales have been increasing each month while in May they dropped again to 122.9 index points. In June sales reached their second highest value with 143.2 index points since 2008. The highest value by now stands with 147.6 index points from March 2015.


Several peaks of sales since 2015 led to the highest value of the yearly sales average (130.4) in June since 2008.


However, the growth of sales that started in 2013 does not continue so far in 2016.

Sales of German automobile industry from 2008 to 2016.

Slight growing automobile production in 2016 with stagnating sales shows the impact of the manufactuers' sales promotion actions.

EU: Rising registration numbers

The diagram from ACEA (European Automobile Manufacturers' Association) shows the registrations of new cars in the EU since 2005 related in each case to November.


The absolute registration numbers are lower by approx. 50,000 units compared to the pre-crisis level from November 2007.

Car registration in the EU from 2005 to 2016.
Source: ACEA, 15 December 2016, www.acea.be.

Car registration numbers in the EU increased by 5.8% and in Germany by 1.5% in November compared to November 2015.


From January to November 2016 car registration numbers in the EU rose by 7.1%, in Germany by 4.6% compared to the same period of the previous year.

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