Automobile IndustryGermany > Trends in production and sales of automobile industry

Automobile production in Germany from 2008 to 2015

Production and sales in German automobile industry growing within sideways ranges since 2013

Update July 11th, 2016 - The automobile production in Germany, also including production for export, broke through the pre-crisis level of 2008 (124.9) in 2011 with 130.8 index points ending the economic crisis for this sector.

 

However, production did not continue to climp up further in kind of a cyclical upturn as usual after a crisis.

 

In fact, production reached four times further new highs in 2011 and 2012. Each of them lay above the pre-crisis-level but was followed by a steep fall in each case. Amid these ups and downs production did establish neither an upward nor a downward trend.

Automobile production in Germany from 2008 up to 2015.

This trendless up and down marks a sideways movement, swinging around an average line (moving yearly average).


Since March 2013, a rising tendency has been emerging leading to a new sideways range on a higher level in 2014. This new sideways range is showing higher highs and higher lows than the former range.


The rising tendency, i.e. the growth of automobile production, keeps on with large fluctuations even in 2014 and 2015. In November 2015 the yearly average reached with 122.2 its highest value since 2008.

Sales too increasing within the sideways ranges since 2013

Sales too flowed into a sideways range after exceeding the crisis low in 2012.


The ongoing growth tendency led sales into a new sideways range on a higher level with higher tops and lows of sales than in the former range.


In December 2015 the yearly average reached with 128.4 its highest value since the world economic crisis 2008/2009.

Sales of German automobile industry from 2008 to 2015.

Sideways movement on higher level more probable than upward or downward trend

Since automobile production is highly internationalized, the course of production on the German site does not completely reflect the situation of the whole sector.

 

The confirmation of a renewed sideways movement on higher level provides in the context of the worldwide economy a higher probability than the establishing of a upward or downward trend.

EU: Rising registration numbers

The diagram from ACEA (European Automobile Manufacturers' Association) shows the registrations of new cars in the EU since 2005 related in each case to December.


The absolute registration numbers are slightly above the pre-crisis level from December 2007.

Car registration in the EU from 2005 to 2015.
Source: ACEA, 15.01.2016, www.acea.be.

Car registration numbers in the EU increased by 16.6% in December compared to December 2014, in Germany by 7.7%.


From January to December 2015 car registration numbers in the EU rose by 9.3%, in Germany by 5.6% compared to the same period of the previous year.

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