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Production and sales of German machinery industry in February 2017

Production stagnating for five to six years while sales of machinery industry are slightly growing for four years

This report deals mainly with monthly changes of production and sales of the German machinery industry based on official production statistics. A separate trend report publishes the trends in production and sales from 2008 to 2015. The Federal Statistical Office publishes sales in euro a couple of days after production indices.

Symbol picture machinery industry

Update April 19th, 2017 – The machinery industry is still struggling for increasing its production that has been stagnating since 2011.

Even in 2016, production keeps on stagnating, remains caught in its sideways range, however, has overcome its lastly slight negative tendency.

That is visualized in the diagram by the upper and lower lines as well as by the dashed line of the yearly production average.

Production machinery industry in Germany from 2008 to 2017.

The efforts of the machinery industry to increase production sustainably over the pre-crisis level eight years ago did not succeed in 2015 and 2016 as production peak in December 2015 failed previous year's peak, which had exceeded the pre-crisis level for the first time for just one month.

Also in 2016 production showed a stable stagnation that was only replaced by a slight growth at the end of the year leading to the highest production level since 2008.

Sales, however, have altogether been continuing their slight growth trend in 2015 and 2016.

Trend to growing sales continuing in 2016

In December 2015 sales achieved their highest monthly value (€22.5bn) since the beginning of the world economic crisis in 2008. 

In June 2016 sales increased to their annual high with €21.36bn. In November the yearly average of sales reached its highest value since 2008.

So the yearly average persues its nearly continuous growth that has started in August 2013.

In November monthly sales reach their second highest value with €21.1bn.

Sales of the German machinery industry have swung into a sideways range since 2014 with an average value of monthly €18.5bn, by €900m higher than that of the sideways range from 2012 to 2013.

Sales of machinery industry in euro in Germany from 2008 to 2017.

Rising machine sales since 2013 combined with stagnating production mean: Machines from Germany becoming more and more value-added by higher performance and increased function variety.  

Growth expectations regarding machine production to 2018 with 3.7% per year

The growth expectations of the machine-builders up to the year 2018 form an average of 3.7% per year in regard to machine production. This was unfolded by a representative market survey from Quest TechnoMarketing in 2015 about the use of robots at machines.

The growth expectations' main feature is that they are divided into tow halves.

Growth expectations of machinery industry regarding machine production to 2018.

51% of the machine-builders expect their machine production will stagnate (37%), drop (3%) or grow modestly (11%) to 2018.

In contrast, 49% of the machine-builders expect a yearly growth of machine production of more than 5% but below 10% (29%), below 20% (16%) or even more than 20% per year (4%).

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